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Flood risk modelling in Europe

2 May 2024

Flooding is a pervasive natural hazard across Europe, stemming not only from persistent precipitation—locally or upstream of rivers—but also from sea and groundwater sources. The flood risk at any given location encapsulates both the probability of a flood event and the potential for property and economic damage. This report presents a comprehensive framework for calculating potential home insurance losses from European flood events based on open data sources, varying by return period and climate change scenarios.

Interactive map exhibits

Netherlands and France – Annualized Maximum Flood Depths over 2024-2060 – RCP scenarios

Utrecht – 1,000 year Return Interval Flood Depths

Paris – 1,000 year Return Interval Flood Depths


About the Author(s)

Jan Thiemen Postema

Amsterdam Insurance and Financial Risk | Tel: 31686855107

Daniël van Dam

Amsterdam Insurance and Financial Risk | Tel: 31686822397

Menno van Wijk

Amsterdam Insurance and Financial Risk | Tel: 31686819827

Niels Van der Laan

Amsterdam Insurance and Financial Risk

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